Links

- Prediction Statistics -


On this page you can view the the input we received till July 20 1998 from the Rebel versus Anand Match Prediction Contest. Results are presented in number of predictions and percentages.

By clicking on the above pictures you can view the general public opinion concerning the status of Rebel about its chess strength when meeting the World Human Chess Top.

Without graphics the statistic looks as follows: 



                 SCORE     VOTES   PERC

Rebel vs Anand   0 - 8       3     0.5%

Rebel vs Anand   ½ - 7½      0     0.0%

Rebel vs Anand   1 - 7       8     1.2%

Rebel vs Anand  1½ - 6½     23     3.5%

Rebel vs Anand   2 - 6      50     7.7%

Rebel vs Anand  2½ - 5½    105    16.2%

Rebel vs Anand   3 - 5     128    19.7%

Rebel vs Anand  3½ - 4½    109    16.8%

Rebel vs Anand   4 - 4      55     8.5%

Rebel vs Anand  4½ - 3½     63     9.7%

Rebel vs Anand   5 - 3      58     8.9%

Rebel vs Anand  5½ - 2½     24     3.7%

Rebel vs Anand   6 - 2      12     1.8%

Rebel vs Anand  6½ - 1½      4     0.6%

Rebel vs Anand   7 - 1       1     0.2%

Rebel vs Anand  7½ - ½       2     0.3%

Rebel vs Anand   8 - 0       1     0.0%
Total number of received predictions is 650.


CONCLUSIONS
  • 29% of people expected a clear win for Vishy Anand.
  • Only 7% expected a clear win for Rebel.
  • 65% of people expected Anand to win the Match.
  • Still 25% of people predicted Rebel to win.


    58 people (8.9%) predicted the right match score of 5-3 in favor of Rebel. As promised 10 of them will receive Rebel10 when released. They already are informed by email. The winners are:

    Mark Smits
    Palle Bratholm
    Ernst Jan Walet
    Eckart Fett
    Jerry Weisskohl
    Gianluigi Masciulli
    Don Gaetke
    Frank van Maasakker
    Carlos A. Nuzzo
    Krishna Kumar


    CONGRATULATIONS!